Setting preemptive precedence would have greater impact than actual war
After fighting stops, antecedent would still influence foreign policy
It’s a rare time when the attention of the entire world is focused on just one thing. From presidents and protesters, to kings and criminals, the world’s spotlight has been fixed on President George W. Bush and his plans for Iraq.
And while the Bush administration insists that an armed conflict with Iraq could be avoided if certain conditions are met, it’s clear that the drums of war are growing louder and louder with each passing day.
Yet hidden among the debates between the doves and hawks is a principle whose impact reaches far further than the streets of Baghdad. It will affect American foreign policy far longer than the few months that troops will be fighting in the sand. If Bush decides to take the United States to war against Iraq, it will be a highly publicized war of preemption.
Doing so deviates from prior policy that a name has been created for this new philosophy, the Bush doctrine. The Bush doctrine aims to stop problems before they grow too large. It’s like spraying Neosporin on a cut. Sure it stings a little now, but it prevents a much larger problem of infection developing later. Bush summed it up when he said in his National Security Strategy, “America will act against such emerging threats before they are fully formed. We cannot defend America and our friends by hoping for the best ... In the new world we have entered, the only path to peace and security is the path of action.”
Clearly, Bush feels that Saddam Hussein is brewing big vats of anthrax with the United States’ name on it. And Bush wants to stop him before he can harm the United States or its allies. On the surface, this is a great idea. Iraq probably does have weapons of mass destruction and probably will use them at some point. So taking preemptive action against Iraq could save thousands of lives.
However, it’s the precedent of preemptive action that has so many people worried. The concept of a war where the United States fires the first shot is a foreign one to many Americans; especially to those who were raised to believe that the United States never engages in offensive wars, that we are a nation that takes up arms only when attacked.
Opponents of Bush claim then raise the question, “where do you stop?” The United States will undoubtedly defeat Iraq on the battlefield, and we might even install a pro-U.S. government there. But after that, things get tricky. Iraq isn’t the only thorn in the United States’ side. If we follow preemptive precedent, do we attack and disarm North Korea or bring down the government of Iran? During a debate at Oxford University, the New York Times reported 151 out of 346 people voted that the United States was the “world’s biggest threat to peace.” This preemptive precedence could just lead to more worldwide violence.
Odds are that the United States is headed to fight a preemptive war with Iraq, using the principles of the Bush doctrine as justification. Perhaps preemption is the only way to fight in this post-Sept. 11, 2001 world; taking out the terrorists and their supporters before they can harm American citizens.
And apparently, Bush has made that decision. But our president could be sending the world down a slippery slope of foreign policy by setting a preemptive precedent.
Ludlow is a second-year political science student. E-mail him at dludlow@media.ucla.edu.

